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Several technical, political, and marketing issues have yet to
be solved before collision avoidance systems can be safely and effectively
mass-deployed. Some of these issues are discussed next.
The technical challenges for current collision avoidance systems
lie in achieving high detection rates given an acceptable false
alarm rate, under real-life driving situations. Two specific problems
that warrant mentioning here are curved roads and adverse visibility
conditions.
| The problem with curved roads is
that sensors might mistake a car running in the opposite direction,
for a hazard on the lane where the CAS equipped vehicle is (see
Figure 1). |
 |
The problem with adverse visibility conditions (rain, snow, fog,
darkness) is different in nature: the issue here is whether the
same criterion for collision warning applies under all circumstances.
It could be argued that when the preceding vehicle is hardly visible,
drivers need to be warned of the presence of a vehicle ahead, perhaps
using a worst-case criterion. But when visibility is good, drivers
need not be told that there is a car ahead of them; instead a time-to-collision
criterion may work best. The results of simulator experiments by
Janssen and Nilsson (1991) showed that a CAS based on a four-second
time-to-collision criterion and a gas pedal counterforce warning
device should not be greatly affected by external environmental
conditions, since it achieved both a reduction in average speeds
(desirable when visibility is low), and a reduction in the proportion
of short headways.
Design issues also pose a challenge: in-vehicle crash avoidance
devices will have to operate in an environment where other displays
compete for the driver's attention. The National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration (NHTSA) has been studying driver distraction
and workload since 1991. The NHTSA has found that 25% of police
reported crashes are due to driver distraction (i.e. attending to
tasks other than driving). Researchers at the NHTSA have conducted
a variety of research projects to determine methods of measuring
driver distraction that have looked specifically at drivers' relationships
with in-vehicle technologies. One general finding is that voice-recognition
is a viable alternative to visual-manual information entry (i.e.
on cell phones and route guidance devices). It is difficult to exaggerate
the potential safety hazard that an "intelligent" vehicle might
pose, if one considers that it might be equipped with information,
navigation, collision avoidance and vision-enhancement systems,
in addition to cellular phones and other communication devices and
a new generation of entertainment equipment. Read
more about ITS Technologies and driver distraction.
Another problem that requires further study is the issue of behavioral
changes which result in poor driving habits. Some of the problems
that might arise due to the presence of CAS devices in vehicles
are:
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Headway distribution: an overall compression of the headway
distribution may result because drivers get to know how close
they can get without being warned. Thus headways slightly higher
than the critical headway, which may perhaps be shorter than
a safe headway given the driver's reaction time, could become
more frequent.
-
Higher speed and higher speed variability: the availability
of CAS could induce faster and more irregular driving, both
of which increase the risk of collisions.
-
Drowsiness: there is the possibility that the driver of a
CAS equipped vehicle may become less attentive of his/her surroundings.
| An evaluation of users of an actual
warning system shows that, while the majority of drivers agree
that they keep longer headways and drive more carefully, several
of them (over 10%) think that it has become unnecessary to pay
too much attention to surrounding conditions (see Figure 2). |
 |
In addition to the technical problems mentioned above, non-technical
problems also hinder the deployment of CAS. Some of these need to
be resolved by consensus between the government, manufacturers,
and consumer groups, while others are probably best left for the
market to decide.
1. Liability: it appears that the issue of who is responsible in
case of an accident is one of the largest obstacles in the deployment
of CAS, and eventually, of the automated highway system.
2. Performance measurement: one fundamental difficulty in evaluating
the performance and benefits of CAS is that collisions are rare
events. Thus special strategies need to be devised to evaluate their
performance. Farber et al. (1995) propose to develop and test CAS
in incremental steps, starting with computer simulation studies
and laboratory experiments, and moving all the way to large-scale
tests on public roads. On the other hand, several vehicle manufacturers
are already moving ahead with different versions of intelligent
cruise control and collision avoidance systems. In several instances
these have been installed in vehicles that log above average annual
mileage, for example trucks and buses. This provides a unique opportunity
to measure the systems' performance over time. By and large, a concerted
effort by government and industry will be required to gather data
and evaluate CAS performance.
3. Standardization: due to the large degree of machine-driver interaction,
several operational characteristics of CAS will need to be standardized
across manufacturers. These characteristics include, for example,
warning thresholds, sensor effective range, area of coverage, type
of warning, and type and strength of steering or braking intervention.
The overriding motivation for standardization is that lack of consistency
across vehicles could produce inappropriate or delayed responses
by drivers. Similarly, a frequency range will have to be allocated
for use by automotive radar systems, to avoid interference with
other communications.
4. Deployment: the development of CAS is taking place largely in
the private sector. It is probable that vehicle manufacturers will
attempt to recover their R&D costs directly from the sell of
CAS equipped vehicles. However, to the extent that second or third
generation systems require some amount of road infrastructure (as
would be the case for automated guidance), some scheme of cost allocation
would have to be agreed upon between vehicle manufacturers and the
federal and state governments, in their role as highway infrastructure
providers. In addition, there is also the issue of whether deployment
will be mandated, as was the case with seat belts and air bags.
As the benefits of CAS are yet to be proved, it is probably too
early to conjecture upon this issue.
It has been argued that the use of collision avoidance systems
is unlikely to be widespread without government regulation, given
that the average driver's chances of being involved in a collision
accident which results in serious injuries are about once in 30
years. The lesson from the deployment of similar safety equipment,
such as seat belts and airbags, suggests that this is not the case.
This is not to say that customers will purchase CAS at whatever
price. At present, rear-end collision warning systems add about
$4,000 to the price of a commercial vehicle. Clearly, additional
technological development, combined perhaps with insurance premium
discounts, are required to bring the price of CAS to marketable
levels.
In order to cope with the issues raised previously, the United
States National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has a program
for development and eventual deployment of collision avoidance technology,
which includes five major elements:
-
An expanding crash-avoidance knowledge database.
-
Development of vital research tools, including the National
Advanced Driving Simulator (NADS).
-
Identification of crash avoidance opportunities.
-
Examination of key human factors and system design issues.
-
The development of performance specifications for crash avoidance
products and systems.
- More information on this program can be found at NHTSA's
Research and Development web site.
Farber, E., M. Freedman and L. Tijerina. Reducing Motor Vehicle
Crashes through Technology. ITS Quarterly. Vol. 3, no. 1 (Summer
1995).
Janssen, W. and L. Nilsson. An Experimental Evaluation of In-Vehicle
Collision Avoidance Systems. In: International Symposium on Automotive
Technology & Automation (24th: 1991 : Florence, Italy). 24th ISATA
International Symposium on Automotive Technology and Automation,
Florence, Italy, 20-24th May 1991.
Croyden, England : Automotive Automation Limited, 1991.
Tijerina, L. Operational and Behavioral Issues in the Comprehensive
Evaluation of Lane Change Crash Avoidance Systems. In: Transportation
Human Factors. Mahwah, N.J.: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1999.
Authors: Francois Granet and Rosella
Picado. Last update: 08/05/03
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